Agriculture sets the threshold for olive oil removal in the 2026/2027 campaign

The Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food has established the marketing standard for olive oil for the 2026/2027 campaign through Order APA/1145/2026, of October 29, published in the Official State Gazette (Boletín Oficial del Estado) no. 270, of October 30, 2026 (reference BOE-A-2026-22717). The standard allows for the withdrawal of product from the market to regulate supply in anticipation of a harvest substantially higher than average. It is signed by Minister Luis Planas Puchades and enters into force the day following its publication.

The order is issued in application of Royal Decree 84/2021, of February 9, which develops article 167 bis of Regulation (EU) No 1308/2013, which authorizes producing Member States to set marketing standards to improve and stabilize the functioning of the olive oil market. The text explains that, after two campaigns of productive normality, the mild temperatures and abundant rainfall of the spring of 2026 in the main olive-growing areas led to good flowering and good fruit set. Hence the forecast of a potential oversupply that could destabilize the market.

The 120% threshold as a trigger

The withdrawal will only be activated if, for the 2026/2027 campaign—which spans from October 1, 2026, to September 30, 2027—a level of initial stocks plus production estimates equal to or greater than 120% of the average level of that sum over the previous six campaigns is reached. The order specifies that the measure will be applied “provided that” this circumstance is confirmed in the coming months.

The calculation will be based on two sources:

• The olive oil market information system (SIMO), created by Royal Decree 861/2018, of July 13, to determine initial stocks.
• The production estimates communicated by the autonomous communities in accordance with article 5 of Royal Decree 84/2021.

The percentage of affected product will be determined by a resolution from the Directorate General of Agricultural Productions and Markets, which must be published in the Official State Gazette before November 15, 2026. That percentage will be applied to the production and calculated as the difference between the estimated resources of the campaign and 120% of the average of the two maximum marketing values of the last six campaigns. In no case may it exceed 20% of the estimated production. Estimated resources include initial stocks, production, and average imports of the last six campaigns.

What the oil mill must do and by when

The withdrawal and storage are the responsibility of the olive oil producing mills. Each holder will choose the category of oil to be withdrawn and must store the amount resulting from applying the official percentage to their production declared monthly in the SIMO. Storage may take place in their own facilities or third-party facilities.

The withdrawn product must remain off the market until the next marketing campaign and appear as stored in the monthly declarations. The specific start date for the withdrawal will be set, along with the percentage, in the same resolution by the General Directorate of Agricultural Productions and Markets, no later than November 15, 2026.

Regional control and review starting December 31

The competent bodies of the autonomous communities will carry out the official controls, while the ministry will develop a control plan together with them. The Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food will also monitor the effect on the market and, starting December 31, 2026, will review production estimates to decide whether to maintain the conditions and whether it is appropriate to adjust the amount to be withdrawn downwards through a new resolution published in the Official State Gazette.

Non-compliance will be penalized under the regime provided for in Law 30/2022, of December 23, which regulates the management system of the Common Agricultural Policy and sets out in Article 23 the sanctioning regime regarding the marketing of olive oil and the oil market information system. The regulation is supported by Article 149.1.13 of the Constitution, and its processing included consultations with the autonomous communities, representative entities of the sector, and the Council of State.

The order arrives at a decisive moment for olive groves: if estimates confirm the oversupply, mills will have to freeze part of their production for months, which affects the liquidity of the farms and the formation of prices at the source. The sector will have a closed calendar—resolution before November 15 and review from December 31—to anticipate their sales decisions in a campaign that is expected to be well above average.

Source: Official State Gazette, no. 270, October 30, 2026, Sec. I. General provisions, page 145317 (official reference: BOE-A-2026-22717).